Ontario construction activity is projected to expand through 2035, with residential and non-residential sectors both contributing as demand and major projects support growth.
Residential building faces a short-term adjustment from economic uncertainty, lower immigration and unsold housing inventory, but activity is expected to resume growth beginning in 2028.
Non-residential construction is expected to stay a major driver, with elevated investment into the early 2030s across healthcare, education, transit, energy and industrial projects.
By 2035, residential construction employment is forecast ↑11% from 2025, while non-residential employment is projected ↑5% as institutional, commercial and industrial building offset engineering declines.
Strong demand also brings a workforce challenge: Ontario could see 92K retirements and need 34.1K additional workers, requiring 126.1K new hires by 2035.
Ontario is expected to recruit 98.8K workers under 30, leaving a ~27.3K gap, making training
